Emerging Infectious Diseases

Agent-Based Modelling Laboratory

Collaborative work of the ABM-Lab on emerging infectious diseases will be shared on this page

COVID-19  Pandemic


Research projects

Will be disseminated as the research progresses



See the full study:

Moghadas SM, Sah P, Vilches TN, Galvani AP, Can the USA return to pre-COVID-19 normal by July 4th?, Lancet Infectious Diseases, 2021.





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Sah P, Vilches TN, Moghadas SM, Fitzpatrick MC, Singer BH, Hotez PJ, Galvani AP, Accelerated vaccine rollout is imperative to mitigate highly transmissible COVID-19 variants, eClinicalMedicine, 2021.





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Moghadas SM, Vilches TN, Zhang K, Nourbakhsh S, Sah P, Fitzpatrick MC, Galvani AP, Evaluation of COVID-19 vaccination strategies with a delayed second dose, PLoS Biology, 2021.




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Moghadas SM, Fitzpatrick MC, Shoukat A, Zhang K, Galvani AP, Simulated identification of silent COVID-19 infections among children and estimated future infection rates with vaccination, JAMA Network Open, 2021.




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Vilches TN, Nourbakhsh S, Zhang K, Juden-Kelly L, Cipriano LE, Langley JM, Sah P, Galvani AP, Moghadas SM, Multifaceted strategies for the control of COVID-19 outbreaks in long-term care facilities in Ontario, Canada, Preventive Medicine, 2021.




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Vilches TN, Zhang K, Van Exan R, Langley JM, Moghadas SM, Projecting the impact of a two-dose COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Ontario, Canada, Vaccine, 2021.





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Moghadas SM, Vilches TN, Zhang K, Wells CR, Shoukat A, Singer BH, Meyers LA, Neuzil KM, Langley JM, Fitzpatrick MC, Galvani AP, Impact of vaccination on COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States, Clinical Infecious Diseases, 2021.





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Zhang K, Shoukat A, Crystal W, Langley JM, Galvani AP, Moghadas SM, Routine saliva testing for the identification of silent COVID-19 infections in healthcare workers, Infection Control Hospital Epidemiology, 2021.




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Wells CR, Townsend JP, Pandey A, Moghadas SM, Krieger G, Singer BH, McDonald RH, Fitzpatrick MC, Galvani AP, Optimal COVID-19 quarantine and testing strategies, Nature Communications 2021.





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Zhang K, Vilches TN, Tariq M, Galvani AP, Moghadas SM, The impact of masks and shelter-in-place on COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States, International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2020.


 



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Abdollahi E, Haworth-Brockman M, Keynan Y, Langley JM, Moghadas SM, Simulating the effect of school closure during COVID-19 outbreaks in Ontario, Canada, BMC Medicine, 2020.





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Seyed M. Moghadas, Meagan C. Fitzpatrick, Pratha Sah, Abhishek Pandey, Affan Shoukat, Burton H. Singer, Alison P. Galvanib, The implications of silent transmission for the control of COVID-19 outbreaks, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 2020.





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Elaheh Abdollahi, David Champredon,Joanne M Langley, Alison P. Galvani, Seyed M. Moghadas,  Tempotal estimates of case-fatality rate for COVID-19 outbreaks in Canada and the United States, Canadian Medical Association Journal, 2020.





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Chad R Wells, Meagan C. Fitzpatrick, , Pratha Sah,  Affan Shoukat, Abhishek Pandey, Abdulrahman M El-Sayed, Burton H Singer, Seyed M. Moghadas, Alison P. Galvani, Projecting the demand for ventilators at the peak of the COVID-19 outbreak in the USA, Lancet Infectious Diseases, 2020.





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Affan Shoukat,Chad R Wells,Joanne M Langley, Burton H Singer, Alison P. Galvani, Seyed M. Moghadas,  Projecting demand for critical care beds during COVID-19 outbreaks in Canada, Canadian Medical Association Journal, 2020.



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Seyed M. Moghadas, Affan Shoukat, Meagan C. Fitzpatrick, Chad R Wells, Pratha Sah, Abhishek Pandey2, Jeffrey D. Sachs, Zheng Wang, Lauren A. Meyers, Burton H Singer, Alison P. Galvani, Projecting hospital utilization during the COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 2020.





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Shoukat A, Sah P, Pandey A, Wells CR, Wang Y, Wang Z, Singer BH, Galvani AP, Moghadas SM, Transmissibility of the initial cluster of COVID-19 patients in Wuhan, China, NCCID Special Post.




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Chad R. Wells, Pratha Sah, Seyed M. Moghadas, Abhishek Pandey, Affan Shoukat, Yaning Wang, Zheng Wang, Lauren A. Meyers, Burton H. Singer, Alison P. Galvani, Impact of international travel and border control measures on the global spread of the novel 2019 Coronavirus outbreak, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA, 2020.



2019 Measles Outbreak


Samoa 



See the full study:

David Champredon, Affan Shoukat, Burton H. Singer, Alison P. Galvani, Seyed M. Moghadas, Curbing the 2019 Samoa measles outbreak, Lancet Infectious Diseasess, 2020.