Emerging Infectious Diseases

Agent-Based Modelling Laboratory

2021

Moghadas SM, Sah P, Vilches TN, Galvani AP, Can the USA return to pre-COVID-19 normal by July 4th?, Lancet Infectious Diseases.

Sah P, Vilches TN, Moghadas SM, Fitzpatrick MC, Singer BH, Hotez PJ, Galvani AP, Accelerated vaccine rollout is imperative to mitigate highly transmissible COVID-19 variants, eClinicalMedicine.

Moghadas SM, Vilches TN, Zhang K, Nourbakhsh S, Sah P, Fitzpatrick MC, Galvani AP, Evaluation of COVID-19 vaccination strategies with a delayed second dose, PLoS Biology.

Vilches TN, Nourbakhsh S, Zhang K, Juden-Kelly L, Cipriano LE, Langley JM, Sah P, Galvani AP, Moghadas SM, Multifaceted strategies for the control of COVID-19 outbreaks in long-term care facilities in Ontario, Canada, Preventive Medicine.

Moghadas SM, Fitzpatrick MC, Shoukat A, Zhang K, Galvani AP, Simulated identification of silent COVID-19 infections among children and estimated future infection rates with vaccination, JAMA Network Open.

Vilches TN, Zhang K, Van Exan R, Langley JM, Moghadas SM, Projecting the impact of a two-dose COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Ontario, Canada, Vaccine.

Moghadas SM, Vilches TN, Zhang K, Wells CR, Shoukat A, Singer BH, Meyers LA, Neuzil KM, Langley JM, Fitzpatrick MC, Galvani AP,Impact of vaccination on COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States, Clinical Infecious Diseases.

Wells CR, Townsend JP, Pandey A, Moghadas SM, Krieger G, Singer BH, McDonald RH, Fitzpatrick MC, Galvani AP, Optimal COVID-19 quarantine and testing strategies, Nature Communications.

Zhang K, Shoukat A, Crystal W, Langley JM, Galvani AP, Moghadas SM, Routine saliva testing for the identification of silent COVID-19 infections in healthcare workers, Infection Control Hospital Epidemiology.

2020

Zhang K, Vilches TN, Tariq M, Galvani AP, Moghadas SM, The impact of mask-wearing and shelter-in-place on COVID-19 oubreaks in the United Sates, International Journal of Infectious Diseases.

Moghadas SM, Fitzpatrick MC, Sah P, Pandey A, Shoukat A, Singer BH, Galvani AP, The implications of silent transmission for the control of COVID-19 outbreaks, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA.

Abdollahi E, Champredon D, Langley JM, Galvani AP, Moghadas SM, Temporal estimates of case-fatality rate for COVID-19 outbreaks in Canada and the United States, Canadian Medical Association Journal

Abdollahi E, Haworth-Brockman M, Keynan Y, Langley JM, Moghadas SM, Simulating the effect of school closure during COVID-19 outbreaks in Ontario, Canada, BMC Medicine.

Wells CR, Fitzpatrick MC, Sah P, Shoukat A, Pandey A, El-Sayed AM, Moghadas SM, Galvani AP, Projecting the demand for ventilators at the peak of COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States, The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 

Shoukat A, Wells CR, Langley JM, Singer BH, Galvani AP, Moghadas SM, Projecting demand for critical care beds during COVID-19 outbreaks in Canada, Canadian Medical Association Journal

Moghadas SM, Shoukat A, Wells CR, Sah P, Pandey A, Wang Z, Fitzpatrick M, Meyers LA, Singer BH, Galvani AP, Projecting hospital utilization during the COVID-19 outbreaks in the United States, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA.

Wells CR, Sah P, Moghadas SM, Shoukat A, Wang Y, Pandey A, Singer BH, Galvani AP, Impact of international travel and border control measures on the global spread of the novel 2019 Coronavirus outbreak, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA.

Shoukat A, Sah P, Pandey A, Wells CR, Wang Y, Wang Z, Singer BH, Galvani AP, Moghadas SM, Transmissibility of the initial cluster of COVID-19 patients in Wuhan, China, NCCID Special Post.

Champredon D, Shoukat A, Singer BH, Galvani AP, Moghadas SM, Curbing the 2019 Samoa measles outbreak. The Lancet Infectious Diseases.